Tarik Skubal, in dynasty and redraft. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has Skubal ahead, Skubal #23 and Tolle #31, and the expert consensus agrees (#46 and #15). The community agrees too, FRV 83.5 to 59.4. For 2026 redraft, the consensus has Skubal ahead, #35 to #79.
JD on Payton Tolle (Oct 20, 2026): I was overall really impressed with Payton Tolle this year and I think he has the potential to stick around for a very long time. I made this comment in an earlier blurb a while ago but he kind of reminds me of Schlitter from the left side because he does a lot of his work with the fastball and doesn't need too much else. Between his four-seam, sinker, and cutter he effectively throws a variation of the fastball 88% of the time and both the four-seam and cutter have positive run values, with the sinker being just about break-even, just slightly negative. When you're able to do that from the left side, I really think that you have a long career ahead of you, especially with his 6'6" frame. He also arguably put up his best stats in September, meaning he finished stronger than a lot of pitchers with a full season under their belt would do as they start to hit a wall. The 7th overall SP might be a little aggressive, but his combination of youth and stuff makes him the most attractive starter left on the board after the first six are gone. I feel like you can rely on Tolle to put up great numbers as he enters his prime.
JD on Tarik Skubal (Oct 2, 2026): I love writing these blurbs about hitters, because I feel like you can judge dynasty value based on potential performance without having to make an injury caveat in every paragraph. When it comes to pitchers, it's just so hard for me to separate out the injury risk from the performance and I have to have to balance the weights of these risks in my head when ranking pitchers. I think this is why I'm lower on pitchers on an absolute basis compared to a lot of other ranking sources, so keep that in mind when comparing lists. Skubal is very clearly a high-end arm that really only entered his peak in 2024 (from a usage perspective, he was dominate in 2023 in a limited sample size), which means he hasn't incurred as much mileage as you'd expect for someone his age. However, he's been ridden hard since 2024, accruing the fourth-most innings of anyone in baseball, only behind Cris Sanchez, Logan Webb, and Kevin Gausman. He's also managed to do that without throwing over 200 innings, which would have been unheard of 10 years ago. There's so much to like about his profile, but one of my favorite parts about him is that he just doesn't walk guys, averaging only a 4.4% walk rate over the last four years while striking out over 30% of the hitters faced in every year. That's led to WHIPs under 1.00 since 2023, and should result in one of the largest contracts ever signed by a pitcher this offseason (if not the largest). I guess if a major league team is willing to throw $200+ million at him, you should be willing to ride him in your dynasty league and throw caution to the wind with injuries.
Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.
| Metric | Payton Tolle | Tarik Skubal |
|---|---|---|
| Team | BOS | LAD |
| Position | SP | SP |
| Age | 23 | 29 |
| Staff Dynasty Rank | #31 | #23 |
| Dynasty Consensus Rank | #46 | #15 |
| Redraft Consensus Rank | #79 | #35 |
| FRV (FanRanked Value) | 59.4 | 83.5 |
| Expert Sources | 9 | 9 |
| Dynasty Rank Range | #37–#70 | #6–#22 |
| Rest-of-Season Value | - | - |
| $ Earned Year to Date | - | - |
| ROS Rank (Top 300) | - | - |
| 30-Day Consensus Move | Up 5 spots | Down 1 spot |
| Stat | Payton Tolle | Tarik Skubal |
|---|---|---|
| IP | 148.2 | 158.2 |
| W | 9 | 12 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.03 | 2.72 |
| WHIP | 1.10 | 0.96 |
| K | 171 | 186 |
| K/9 | 10.4 | 10.6 |
Price a Payton Tolle-for-Tarik Skubal trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their rest-of-season dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer