Dynasty: Chase Burns. Redraft: Payton Tolle. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has Burns ahead, Burns #28 and Tolle #31, and the expert consensus agrees (#28 and #46). The community agrees too, FRV 69.4 to 59.4. For 2026 redraft, the consensus has Tolle ahead, #79 to #178.
JD on Chase Burns (Oct 20, 2026): It was a shame to see Chase Burns be such a league winner right up until the fantasy playoffs started for most people, at which point he got shut down and lost all of his value. When you're in a dynasty league and young guys click like this, it's a shame that you are punished in the playoffs when players on non-contending teams don't finish the end of the season. Chase Burns himself is very elite and you should be happy with him leading your rotation if you roster him. It's also really impressive that he has managed to do this with effectively two pitches, since he features his changeup only 5% of the time (with a -9 run value). He's got the classic heat maps that you'd want to see from a pitcher with his velocity: fastballs at the top of the zone and sliders down and away to righties. The slider alone accumulated +18 runs and contributed to a -1.05 reduction in ERA vs. the league average, making it one of the best in baseball. With a slider that good he can afford to be a two-pitch pitcher for a long time. I would like to see him develop a third pitch eventually to take him to the next level but he's so good that he doesn't have to. Let's just hope next season he doesn't get shut down in September and he gives everyone 30+ elite starts.
JD on Payton Tolle (Oct 20, 2026): I was overall really impressed with Payton Tolle this year and I think he has the potential to stick around for a very long time. I made this comment in an earlier blurb a while ago but he kind of reminds me of Schlitter from the left side because he does a lot of his work with the fastball and doesn't need too much else. Between his four-seam, sinker, and cutter he effectively throws a variation of the fastball 88% of the time and both the four-seam and cutter have positive run values, with the sinker being just about break-even, just slightly negative. When you're able to do that from the left side, I really think that you have a long career ahead of you, especially with his 6'6" frame. He also arguably put up his best stats in September, meaning he finished stronger than a lot of pitchers with a full season under their belt would do as they start to hit a wall. The 7th overall SP might be a little aggressive, but his combination of youth and stuff makes him the most attractive starter left on the board after the first six are gone. I feel like you can rely on Tolle to put up great numbers as he enters his prime.
Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.
| Metric | Chase Burns | Payton Tolle |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CIN | BOS |
| Position | SP | SP |
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Staff Dynasty Rank | #28 | #31 |
| Dynasty Consensus Rank | #28 | #46 |
| Redraft Consensus Rank | #178 | #79 |
| FRV (FanRanked Value) | 69.4 | 59.4 |
| Expert Sources | 8 | 9 |
| Dynasty Rank Range | #13–#45 | #37–#70 |
| Rest-of-Season Value | - | - |
| $ Earned Year to Date | - | - |
| ROS Rank (Top 300) | - | - |
| 30-Day Consensus Move | Down 4 spots | Up 3 spots |
| Stat | Chase Burns | Payton Tolle |
|---|---|---|
| IP | 154.1 | 148.2 |
| W | 15 | 9 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 2.86 | 3.03 |
| WHIP | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| K | 185 | 171 |
| K/9 | 10.8 | 10.4 |
Price a Chase Burns-for-Payton Tolle trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their rest-of-season dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer