Tarik Skubal, in dynasty and redraft. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has Skubal ahead, Skubal #23 and Burns #28, and the expert consensus agrees (#26 and #14). The community agrees too, FRV 83.5 to 69.4. For 2027 redraft, the consensus has Skubal ahead, #13 to #40, and Frank's 2027 projection agrees ($13.3 and $25.9).
JD on Chase Burns (Oct 20, 2026): It was a shame to see Chase Burns be such a league winner right up until the fantasy playoffs started for most people, at which point he got shut down and lost all of his value. When you're in a dynasty league and young guys click like this, it's a shame that you are punished in the playoffs when players on non-contending teams don't finish the end of the season. Chase Burns himself is very elite and you should be happy with him leading your rotation if you roster him. It's also really impressive that he has managed to do this with effectively two pitches, since he features his changeup only 5% of the time (with a -9 run value). He's got the classic heat maps that you'd want to see from a pitcher with his velocity: fastballs at the top of the zone and sliders down and away to righties. The slider alone accumulated +18 runs and contributed to a -1.05 reduction in ERA vs. the league average, making it one of the best in baseball. With a slider that good he can afford to be a two-pitch pitcher for a long time. I would like to see him develop a third pitch eventually to take him to the next level but he's so good that he doesn't have to. Let's just hope next season he doesn't get shut down in September and he gives everyone 30+ elite starts.
JD on Tarik Skubal (Oct 2, 2026): I love writing these blurbs about hitters, because I feel like you can judge dynasty value based on potential performance without having to make an injury caveat in every paragraph. When it comes to pitchers, it's just so hard for me to separate out the injury risk from the performance and I have to have to balance the weights of these risks in my head when ranking pitchers. I think this is why I'm lower on pitchers on an absolute basis compared to a lot of other ranking sources, so keep that in mind when comparing lists. Skubal is very clearly a high-end arm that really only entered his peak in 2024 (from a usage perspective, he was dominate in 2023 in a limited sample size), which means he hasn't incurred as much mileage as you'd expect for someone his age. However, he's been ridden hard since 2024, accruing the fourth-most innings of anyone in baseball, only behind Cris Sanchez, Logan Webb, and Kevin Gausman. He's also managed to do that without throwing over 200 innings, which would have been unheard of 10 years ago. There's so much to like about his profile, but one of my favorite parts about him is that he just doesn't walk guys, averaging only a 4.4% walk rate over the last four years while striking out over 30% of the hitters faced in every year. That's led to WHIPs under 1.00 since 2023, and should result in one of the largest contracts ever signed by a pitcher this offseason (if not the largest). I guess if a major league team is willing to throw $200+ million at him, you should be willing to ride him in your dynasty league and throw caution to the wind with injuries.
Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.
| Metric | Chase Burns | Tarik Skubal |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CIN | LAD |
| Position | SP | SP |
| Age | 23 | 29 |
| Staff Dynasty Rank | #28 | #23 |
| Dynasty Consensus Rank | #26 | #14 |
| Redraft Consensus Rank | #40 | #13 |
| FRV (FanRanked Value) | 69.4 | 83.5 |
| Expert Sources | 15 | 15 |
| Dynasty Rank Range | #13–#45 | #6–#22 |
| 2027 Projected Value | $13.3 | $25.9 |
| 2026 $ Earned | $18.0 | $22.0 |
| 2027 Projected Rank | #84 | #20 |
| 30-Day Consensus Move | Down 1 spot | No move |
| Stat | Chase Burns | Tarik Skubal |
|---|---|---|
| IP | 154.1 | 158.2 |
| W | 15 | 12 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 2.86 | 2.72 |
| WHIP | 1.17 | 0.96 |
| K | 185 | 186 |
| K/9 | 10.8 | 10.6 |
Price a Chase Burns-for-Tarik Skubal trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their 2027 dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer