Dynasty: Gavin Williams. Redraft: Drew Rasmussen. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has Williams ahead, Williams #41 and Rasmussen #52, and the expert consensus agrees (#88 and #58). The community agrees too, FRV 61.1 to 55.6. For 2027 redraft, the consensus has Rasmussen ahead, #42 to #45, and Frank's 2027 projection agrees ($22.0 and $14.8).
JD on Drew Rasmussen (Oct 27, 2026): Rasmussen feels like a 26-year-old inside of a 31-year-old body just because of how little we have seen of him as he has been rebuilt with a bionic arm across 3 surgeries. I actually think Rasmussen might be one of the most attractive starters in redraft leagues next year. You get a pitcher on an elite team with a ton of win potential, outstanding ratios, and enough Ks to get the job done. The WHIP really does the heavy lifting for me as I find pitchers who can consistently maintain a sub-1.0 WHIP to be some of the most talented in all of baseball. However when it comes to dynasty, he is a bit of an unknown quantity. The track record for durability of pitchers who have had three surgeries like this is not great, and the Rays might play it cautious at any sign of an issue (by limiting his innings or easing him into the postseason next year, right when fantasy players need him most). Because he has less mileage than most elite arms at his age, I think he might actually be underrated from a dynasty perspective but you have to trust that the injury history won't rear its head. I lean more toward the former than the latter but I wouldn't blame you for staying away in dynasty formats just because of the injury issues.
JD on Gavin Williams (Oct 20, 2026): Every start for Gavin feels like a ride on Mr. Bones' Wild Ride. If you don't know that incredibly niche piece of internet culture, here you go. It's incredible how dominant he can look and how hard it can be for him to find the zone sometimes. In his Game 5 start against the White Sox in the Division Series, he goes out there and absolutely mows down guys for five innings and 12 Ks and then loses the strike zone and can't make it out of the sixth. The crazy part is it's not like his walk rate was obscenely high like it was in previous seasons at an 8.2% BB rate, but it's the fact that he can still get all these Ks while making so many uncompetitive pitches when his command disappears. I think Gavin is one of the highest-upside arms in baseball right now and if anyone outside of the top five was going to challenge for the #1 ranked SP next year I think he is the safest bet. However, it's a pretty high-variance play because he also is the most likely to regress with his command and post a mid-4 ERA with bad walk rates. His floor will always be somewhat stable because of the absurd Ks that he will give you, but be prepared to take the good with the bad.
Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.
| Metric | Drew Rasmussen | Gavin Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Team | TB | CLE |
| Position | SP | SP |
| Age | 31 | 27 |
| Staff Dynasty Rank | #52 | #41 |
| Dynasty Consensus Rank | #88 | #58 |
| Redraft Consensus Rank | #42 | #45 |
| FRV (FanRanked Value) | 55.6 | 61.1 |
| Expert Sources | 15 | 15 |
| Dynasty Rank Range | #33–#285 | #30–#128 |
| 2027 Projected Value | $22.0 | $14.8 |
| 2026 $ Earned | $29.0 | $18.0 |
| 2027 Projected Rank | #34 | #70 |
| 30-Day Consensus Move | Up 2 spots | Up 3 spots |
| Stat | Drew Rasmussen | Gavin Williams |
|---|---|---|
| IP | 172.0 | 184.1 |
| W | 16 | 14 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 2.67 | 3.76 |
| WHIP | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| K | 174 | 248 |
| K/9 | 9.1 | 12.1 |
Price a Drew Rasmussen-for-Gavin Williams trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their 2027 dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer