Nolan McLean vs. Tarik Skubal: Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Comparison

Nolan McLean or Tarik Skubal?

Tarik Skubal, in dynasty and redraft. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has Skubal ahead, Skubal #23 and McLean #34, and the expert consensus agrees (#46 and #14). The community agrees too, FRV 83.5 to 67.1. For 2027 redraft, the consensus has Skubal ahead, #12 to #64, and Frank's 2027 projection agrees ($15.6 and $25.9).

What the staff says

JD on Nolan McLean (Oct 20, 2026): Nolan McLean stands in a tier of his own for me, because he's in a weird spot where there feels like a big gap between him and the top 7 starters, but he's very clearly better than the next starter after him, Logan Gilbert, mainly due to his age. My favorite thing about McLean is the way he spins it. He has a 98th percentile curveball in xwOBA allowed at .163, and some of the PitchingNinja videos of his highest RPM pitches look like straight witchcraft. Despite his elite-looking curveball, it's actually his sinker that was his most valuable pitch by far, having saved an incredible 27 runs this season, leading to an ERA reduction versus the average of 1.35. That was by far the most valuable sinker in baseball this year in total run value (although Josh Hader(?)) Was better on a rate basis per 100 pitches). I would love to see a guy like McLean with an elite defense behind him, because I feel like the sinker/curveball combo would really play up with a team like the Brewers behind him. Unfortunately he will have to settle with the Mets' defense going forward, who ranked 25th last year, and I don't see a path to them getting much better.

JD on Tarik Skubal (Oct 2, 2026): I love writing these blurbs about hitters, because I feel like you can judge dynasty value based on potential performance without having to make an injury caveat in every paragraph. When it comes to pitchers, it's just so hard for me to separate out the injury risk from the performance and I have to have to balance the weights of these risks in my head when ranking pitchers. I think this is why I'm lower on pitchers on an absolute basis compared to a lot of other ranking sources, so keep that in mind when comparing lists. Skubal is very clearly a high-end arm that really only entered his peak in 2024 (from a usage perspective, he was dominate in 2023 in a limited sample size), which means he hasn't incurred as much mileage as you'd expect for someone his age. However, he's been ridden hard since 2024, accruing the fourth-most innings of anyone in baseball, only behind Cris Sanchez, Logan Webb, and Kevin Gausman. He's also managed to do that without throwing over 200 innings, which would have been unheard of 10 years ago. There's so much to like about his profile, but one of my favorite parts about him is that he just doesn't walk guys, averaging only a 4.4% walk rate over the last four years while striking out over 30% of the hitters faced in every year. That's led to WHIPs under 1.00 since 2023, and should result in one of the largest contracts ever signed by a pitcher this offseason (if not the largest). I guess if a major league team is willing to throw $200+ million at him, you should be willing to ride him in your dynasty league and throw caution to the wind with injuries.

Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.

MetricNolan McLeanTarik Skubal
TeamNYMLAD
PositionSPSP
Age2529
Staff Dynasty Rank#34#23
Dynasty Consensus Rank#46#14
Redraft Consensus Rank#64#12
FRV (FanRanked Value)67.183.5
Expert Sources1515
Dynasty Rank Range#36–#168#6–#22
2027 Projected Value$15.6$25.9
2026 $ Earned$14.0$22.0
2027 Projected Rank#65#20
30-Day Consensus MoveDown 4 spotsNo move

2026 Season Stats

2026 Pitching

StatNolan McLeanTarik Skubal
IP179.2158.2
W1212
SV00
ERA3.162.72
WHIP1.170.96
K194186
K/99.710.6

Price a Nolan McLean-for-Tarik Skubal trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their 2027 dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer

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