Dynasty: too close to call. Redraft: Gavin Williams. The FanRanked staff dynasty board has them nearly level, Williams #41 and Gilbert #43, but the expert consensus has Gilbert ahead (#50 to #58). The community leans Gilbert, FRV 75.6 to 61.1. For 2027 redraft, the consensus has Williams ahead, #45 to #49, but Frank's 2027 projection has Gilbert ahead ($21.6 to $14.8).
JD on Gavin Williams (Oct 20, 2026): Every start for Gavin feels like a ride on Mr. Bones' Wild Ride. If you don't know that incredibly niche piece of internet culture, here you go. It's incredible how dominant he can look and how hard it can be for him to find the zone sometimes. In his Game 5 start against the White Sox in the Division Series, he goes out there and absolutely mows down guys for five innings and 12 Ks and then loses the strike zone and can't make it out of the sixth. The crazy part is it's not like his walk rate was obscenely high like it was in previous seasons at an 8.2% BB rate, but it's the fact that he can still get all these Ks while making so many uncompetitive pitches when his command disappears. I think Gavin is one of the highest-upside arms in baseball right now and if anyone outside of the top five was going to challenge for the #1 ranked SP next year I think he is the safest bet. However, it's a pretty high-variance play because he also is the most likely to regress with his command and post a mid-4 ERA with bad walk rates. His floor will always be somewhat stable because of the absurd Ks that he will give you, but be prepared to take the good with the bad.
JD on Logan Gilbert (Oct 20, 2026): Logan Gilbert is a borderline case for me, because despite the fact that he will be 30 in 2027, I think he's got a lot of life left in his arm. I think he's very likely to take the Kevin Gausman-type path where he is very valuable accumulating innings with great ratios and good K rates. I also love pitchers who minimize walks and keep their WHIP down and Logan Gilbert is the poster child for minimizing free passes without the expense of making himself much more hittable. I do think his value takes a significant hit if he isn't able to come to a long-term deal with the Mariners and ends up signing elsewhere, as some of those home run issues (that I think T-Mobile Park covers for him) could rear their heads in a worse pitcher's environment. It's impossible for me to speculate where he ends up going after 2027 so it's a fool's errand to try to knock his value down because of it, but it is a real threat facing him if he signs with a team like the Yankees or Phillies. Just something to keep in mind if you are making a roster decision regarding Gilbert in 2027.
Data as of . Consensus boards refresh daily; the staff board moves when it is republished.
| Metric | Gavin Williams | Logan Gilbert |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CLE | SEA |
| Position | SP | SP |
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Staff Dynasty Rank | #41 | #43 |
| Dynasty Consensus Rank | #58 | #50 |
| Redraft Consensus Rank | #45 | #49 |
| FRV (FanRanked Value) | 61.1 | 75.6 |
| Expert Sources | 15 | 15 |
| Dynasty Rank Range | #30–#128 | #37–#136 |
| 2027 Projected Value | $14.8 | $21.6 |
| 2026 $ Earned | $18.0 | $14.0 |
| 2027 Projected Rank | #70 | #37 |
| 30-Day Consensus Move | Up 3 spots | Down 6 spots |
| Stat | Gavin Williams | Logan Gilbert |
|---|---|---|
| IP | 184.1 | 186.0 |
| W | 14 | 12 |
| SV | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.76 | 3.73 |
| WHIP | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| K | 248 | 205 |
| K/9 | 12.1 | 9.9 |
Price a Gavin Williams-for-Logan Gilbert trade in the Dynasty Trade Calculator · compare their 2027 dollars in the Roto & Redraft Trade Analyzer